92% Accurate Predictions since 2007.
No-one has that record. Not Futurists. Not the U.N. (for sure) and not old economy thinkers. Not any PhDs.
Only 2thinknow have achieved it using our special beta Trend Analysis Models.
Based on Predictions in the Trends Section of the Report.
Most Importantly is the 3rd Number. Only 6.5% Inaccurate, as it is easy to be right sometimes, but it's hard to do that without being wrong (false positives).
'Trends' You Won't See
Nothing about Google Glass (we called it a Fad). And same self-driving cars (for now). What we avoid is as important as include.
Trends You Will See
Mostly accurate predictions of major forces that will happen. Stuff that matters to your business, industry, city. Not prevaricating or hedging bets or straight line predictions.
2thinknow only predict tectonic shifts.
We do not care about cool. 2thinknow care about being right, so you can plan your innovative ideas. Accurately.
How We Do This
Trend Models in beta since 2007, and which we only share outputs.
2thinknow Track Record
All Trends predicted 2007-2013 - in the Trends Section.
|Headline Prediction||Year First Predicted||Status To Date
|Web 2.0||2007||Accurate||Creation of Web Content as the dominant form of social life|
|Citizen Media||2007||Accurate||Dissemination of social media as dominant form of social life|
|Communities of Interests||2007||Accurate||Through Social Media|
|Environmental Quality||2007||Accurate||Climate Change initiatives dominated debate for 10 years|
|China||2007||Accurate||Second most important global force now, and rise less peaceful|
|Quality of life||2007||Accurate||Primary focus of Millenials and Gen Y|
|Regional & Artisan||2007||Accurate||Artisan goods have become the status symbol over brands|
|Global Peak Oil||2007||InAccurate||Oil is still Cheap. This we got wrong (we corrected quickly)|
|Creative Economy||2007||Accurate||Artistic Products. Etsy, Patreon, Pinterest|
|Corporations||2007||Accurate||Corporations continue to dominate life and consolidate (less listed)|
|China||2007||Accurate||Rise of China in every institution. South China Sea|
|GMO Food||2007||Accurate||GMO is still an issue -- and will become a health issue|
|Media Bias||2007||Accurate||Fake News!!! Yes we predicted this|
|NewsCorp||2007||Accurate||Dominant news platform|
|Sex||2007||Accurate||Everywhere! Watch a 2007 sitcom. Compare Netflix|
|Uber Rich||2007||Accurate||Bifurcation into super-wealthy (Instagram Millionaires)|
|Female CEOs||2007||Accurate||Rising power|
|White Collar Crime||2007||Accurate||Before the scandals we predicted them|
|US Hegemony||2007||Accurate||Dominant force in military worldwide|
|Online Careers||2007||Accurate||Careers are now entirely online since 2010|
|World Music||2007||Accurate||World Music|
|Clean Energy||2007||Accurate||Dominant consideration of energy supply in the period|
|Germany||2007||Accurate||Relative strength until 2014|
|Dubai||2007||Accurate||Rise as a world capital|
|Nano-Tech||2007||Partially Accurate||Slow progress|
|Nuclear Fission||2007||Partially Accurate||Bit delayed|
|Recession||2007||Accurate||Written in Oct 2007 along with other comments about GFC|
|Fascism||2007||Accurate||See Elections. And we were first. No hugging. Fascism.|
|Robots||2007||Partially Accurate||Still happening, mainly industrial|
|African Nationalism||2007||Accurate||Zimbabwe, South Afirca and Africa|
|Australia||2007||Partially Accurate||Rising importance|
|Blogs||2007||Accurate||Took over the world|
|Christianity||2007||Partially Accurate||Rise in China, Asia, Emerging|
|China Investment||2007||Accurate||Australia - everything and everywhere. Belt and Road|
|Downshifting||2007||Partially Accurate||People dropping out of work|
|East Europe||2007||InAccurate||Less important - dampened|
|ebay & Skype||2007||InAccurate||Sort of not that big a deal|
|Environment||2007||Accurate||If column inches are anything to go by|
|French Culture||2007||Accurate||Francophile moment - Sarkozy|
|Green||2007||Accurate||Everything was green for awhile|
|India||2007||Accurate||India remains more powerful|
|Mental Illness||2007||Accurate||Still an issue. Massive. Depression|
|Multi-Lingual||2007||Partially Accurate||Still in progress. Real-time translation|
|Figurative Art||2007||Accurate||Return of the figurative form in art (less abstract)|
|Pandemics||2007||Accurate||H1N1, Swine/Chicken Flu, etc|
|Variety||2007||Accurate||Reality Tv singing and dancing shows|
|White Collar nomads||2007||Accurate||The spread of Tim Ferriss & Lifestyle design|
|World Music||2007||Accurate||Music is now all global winners and losers|
|World Culture||2007||Accurate||Netflix Originals. Enough said.|
|China & India||2009||Accurate||Conflicts, Border|
|City-led Economic Recovery||2009||Accurate||Dallas, Barcelona, Dublin|
|Complex (Growing) Bureaucracy||2009||Accurate||Complex govt bureaucracies and shrinking corporate bureaucracy|
|Digital Mobility||2009||Accurate||Citizens can work from anywhere using smart devices|
|Euro-Connectivity||2009||Partially Accurate||China has done this, US tried, no cigar|
|Food & Water Degradation||2009||Accurate||Clean water sources are decreasing so badly. Food also.|
|Home & Family||2009||Partially Accurate||Staying inside. Going out less.|
|Human Playgrounds||2009||Accurate||Digital mobility improving lives of people|
|University Degrees||2009||Accurate||University degrees for lower level jobs|
|Virus Virulence||2009||Partially Accurate||Spread of global resistant viruses|
|We are all Free Agents||2009||Accurate||Uber, Airtasker, Gig Economy as substitute for employment|
|Weather Events||2009||Accurate||Hurricanes, Earthquakes everywhere|
|Backsliding||10-2009||Accurate||Los Angeles and the failure of US infrastructure|
|Protectionism||10-2009||Accurate||Conditions like "Locally manufactured"|
|Sustainable Design||10-2009||Accurate||Increase in designers, focus on sustainability|
|Territorial Refugees||10-2009||Accurate||Europe Refugees|
|Conventional Militarisation||2011||InAccurate||Nukes surprisingly back on table|
|Global Conversations||2011||Accurate||Whatsapp, Instagram, Snapchat conversations daily global now|
|Home Grown||2011||Accurate||Focus on Fresh Organic food|
|Local Manufacturing||2011||Hasn’t Happened||Still relying on China, nascent trend, ongoing. This Year|
|Mercantilism, Protectionism, Currencies & Markets||2011||Accurate||Election of Trump, Chinese Behavior|
|New Design Thinking||2011||Accurate||Green Business, Renewable energy trends (Solar Panels)|
|Open Data||2011||Accurate||Wikipedia, Data Portals|
|Re- Invention||2011||Partially Accurate||Underway in cities like Athens, Barcelona|
|Rise of the City-State||2011||Accurate||Focus on Cities and cities movement.|
|Tri-Polarism||2011||Partially Accurate||More multi-polar (Changed year to year)|
|Asia Tensions||2013||Accurate||India-China, Korean Peninsula, Pakistan-India|
|Centralist Bureaucracy||2013||Accurate||NSA, Deep State, Snowden, EU Centralism|
|Currency Wars||2013||Accurate||Pound-AUD-USD Fluctuations|
|Goods, not services||2013||InAccurate||Service industry still possess large share, may change|
|Hyper Wellness||2013||Accurate||Fitness craze phenomenon, Fitness courses, Diets, Instagram|
|Innovation Design||2013||InAccurate||3d Manufacturing not popular yet|
|Isolationism, Protectionism and more sinister "isms"||2013||Accurate||Isolation of USA, Southern Europe, Fascism.|
|Political Extremes||2013||Accurate||Extreme Right Wing and Left Wing positions (AntiFa anyone)|
|Rail-Connectivity||2013||Accurate||Focus on Rail in China|
|Start-ups||2013||Accurate||Growth in startups as dominant economic strategy|
|University over-supply||2013||Accurate||Over-supply of graduates|
Those interested in how cities innovate may like to know these Trends are the basis for assumptions in the Innovation Cities™ Index rankings.
Not Just Trends
Elsewhere in the report you will see 2thinknow accurately predicted:
- GFC as a near Depression
- Relative strength of Germany during GFC
- Recovery of Japan
- Korean Conflict (ahead of others)
- Ukraine Situation
- Korean Peninsula
Can your planning afford to miss this report?
Partner the Trend Analysis with a Video Conference to Discuss Trends
Need to understand the trends? What's happening in Asia? Conflict? Which products sell well in your region or area? Then partner the report with an exclusive confidential video briefing with the author and Director Data, Christopher Hire.